Stats
Man United’s stats showed they scored an average of 2.0 Goals every home game, and conceded just 0.2 (obviously, there’s no such thing as 0.2 of a Goal, but it indicated a very low rate). Roma also scored an average of 2.0 Goals per game, but conceded 1.2 - this trend meant 75% of Roma’s matches went Over 2.5 Goals, whereas Man United’s were spread evenly.
Summary
Taking into account United’s dominant possession (54.5% v 46.8%), the stats pointed to a narrow Man United win.
Bets
There was no real value in backing Man United to Win (@ 4/7) so we recommended backing Man United to Win by 1 Goal @ 5/2 and the Draw @ 5/2 (either outcome would guarantee a profit). And also suggested Man United to Win 1-0 @ 7/1.
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Result:
Man United 1 Roma 0
– Two winning bets!
