Chelsea play Barcelona tonight for the right to play Manchester
United in this season's Champions League Final.

You can check out both teams' Head-2-Head stats on your members-only
website:

www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk     Password: *******

Also you can track every Goal, Corner and Booking tonight on the
Live Scoreboard on the website.

Here are tonight's recommended bets...

Chelsea v Barcelona

TONIGHT - Wed 6th May, 7.45pm
Live on Sky Sports 2
Ref: Tom Henning Ovrebo

1st Leg score: 0-0

Match Result:

Chelsea need to win to go through - a 0-0 draw will see the game go
into Extra Time.

Barcelona will go through if they win or the game ends in a score
draw because of the away goals rule.

Chelsea have won 4 out of their 5 home Champions League games this
season - the other ended in a draw (4-4 with Liverpool).

Barcelona have not lost an away game in this season's competition -
their record is won 3 and drawn 2.

Chelsea haven't lost in 17 Champions League home games. The last
team to beat them at Stamford Bridge was Barcelona in the 2005/6
season.

The last time Barcelona lost an away game in European competition
was at the same stage last season (Semi Final, 2nd Leg) - losing 1-0
to Manchester United.

Barcelona haven't won in their last 4 meetings with Chelsea.

• Chelsea are 9/5 to win in 90 minutes tonight with Bet365 and
  Expekt

Total Goals:

Both teams come into this game with 'high Goals' stats...

Chelsea - Home
Total Goals = 3.40 per game
Over 2.5 Goals games = 60%

Barcelona - Away
Total Goals = 3.80 per game
Over 2.5 Goals games = 60%

As we can see from the stats both teams are averaging 'Over' the
bookies' 2.5 Goals marker.

Chelsea have played Barcelona 3 times at Stamford Bridge since the
2005 - 2 of those 3 games have gone 'Over 2.5 Goals'.

• Barcelona have been finding the back of the net with relative
  ease this season (apart from in last week's 1st Leg). They have
  already scored 100 goals in La Liga this season. And in their last
  domestic away game they beat Real Madrid 6-2. 

With both teams needing to score tonight and the fact that Barcelona
are missing two of their most experienced central defenders in
Carles Puyol and Rafael Marquez - the Even money offered on 'Over
2.5 Goals' looks good value.

Corners:

Chelsea and Barcelona match up well for a 'low Corners' bet this
evening.

Here are both team's home and away Corner averages...

Chelsea - Home
For: 4.80
Against: 3.80
Total Average: 8.60 Corners per game
Under 10.5 Corners games = 80%

Barcelona - Away
For: 5.00
Against: 4.00
Total Average: 9.00 Corners per game
Under 10.5 Corners games = 80%

The stats show that both teams are averaging 'Under 10.5 Corners'
per home and away game.

In their previous three encounters at Stamford Bridge in recent
seasons - 2 out of those 3 games have gone 'Under 10.5 Corners'.

• You can get 9/10 (1.90) with Bet365 that tonight's game goes
  'Under 10.5 Corners'.

Cards and Booking Points

Here are both teams' current home and away Booking Points averages
this season...

Chelsea - Home
For: 18.00
Against: 18.00
Total Average: 36.00 Booking Points per game
Over 35 Booking Points games = 80%

Barcelona - Away
For: 20.00
Against: 33.00
Total Average: 53.00 Booking Points per game
Over 35 Booking Points games = 80%

The stats show that both teams are averaging 'Over' the bookies'
normal 35 Booking Points/ 3.5 Cards marker. However the bookies have
set their marker at 45 Booking Points/ 4.5 Cards tonight.

Only 1 Chelsea home game in this season's competition has gone 'Over
45 Booking Points'. But 4 out of 5 Barcelona away games have gone
'Over 45 Booking Points' this season.

2 out the last 3 meetings between these two clubs at Stamford Bridge
have gone 'Over 45 Booking Points/ 4.5 Cards'.

Cards and Bookings bets...

Most bookies use these scoring systems for Cards and Booking Points
bets:

Cards (eg. Bet365)
Yellow Card = 1 Card, Red Card = 2 Cards.
Most one player can get in a game = 3 Cards.

Booking Points
Yellow Card = 10 pts, Red Card = 25 pts.
Most one player can get in a game = 35 pts.

Tonight's Recommended Bets...

Here's a summary of our 2 recommended bets for tonight's game.

Chelsea v Barcelona:

·         'Over 2.5 Goals' @ Evens with Betfred, Coral, Skybet, Stan
James, Totesport and Victor Chandler

·         'Over 45 Booking Points' @ 5/6 with William Hill

You can find the best odds on all bets for Chelsea v Barcelona here.

Get Messi at 5/1...

Lionel Messi has played in 10 of Barcelona's Champions League games
this season - and won the UEFA 'Official Fans' Man of the Match'
award in 4 of them (40%).

If you'd had a fiver on Messi to be Man of the Match at 5/1 in every
Champions League game this season, you'd have staked £50 in total -
and collected £120. In financial talk, that's a 140% 'return on
investment.'

• Blue Square and 888 Sport offer 5/1 for Messi to be Man of the
  Match tonight.

Considering there are 22 players in a game, getting Man of the Match
4 times out of 10 is an impressive strike rate. It's also worth
noting that awards voted for by the fans - like this one - often go
to the 'star players.' And people are falling over themselves to
call Messi the best player in the world right now...

Talking of Messi...

He was one of our 2 recommended bets to be Top Scorer this season
(at 9/2 each way). At the moment Messi is clear at the top of the
scoring charts with 8 goals. Steven Gerrard is joint-2nd with 7
goals - and he was our other selection at 8/1 each way.

I'll be back tomorrow with the results from our recommended bets...

Good luck!

Best wishes,

Matt Nesbitt

Champions League Profit Service
www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk
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