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We had a good start to our Champions League season last night with
our stats throwing up 4 out of 5 winners.
There are 8 more group games tonight, and I've got recommended bets
for 3 of them in today's email.
Let's start with last season's losing finalists Chelsea...
Chelsea v Roma
Wed 22nd Oct, 7.45pm
Live on Sky Sports Xtra
Ref: Kyros Vassaras
Form
Chelsea will be looking to go one better in this season's
competition after missing out on the trophy in a penalty shootout
against Manchester United last May. So far this season they've
beaten Bordeaux 4-0 at home and drawn 0-0 away against CFR Cluj.
Roma were beaten at home by CFR Cluj 2-1 on match day one but
bounced back to beat Bordeaux 3-1 away from home last time out.
Bookings
Chelsea averaged 10.0 Bookings Points For per home game in last
season's competition. Opponents Roma averaged 26.0 Bookings Points
For per away game. In Chelsea's opening home game this term they
picked up 10.0 Bookings Points. In Roma's first away game they
picked up 40.0 Bookings Points.
Last season Roma received the most Bookings Points in 4 out of
their 5 away games. In 4 out of 6 Chelsea home games their
opponents received the Most Bookings Points.
The stats point to Roma getting the most Bookings Points tonight.
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RECOMMENDED BET:
- Roma to win the 'Bookings Points Match Bet' @ 4/6 (1.66) with
Blue Square and 888sport, or Roma to be the 'Team Awarded Most Bookings Points' @ 4/9 with William Hill
This bet wins if... Roma get more Bookings Points than Chelsea.
You can find the latest odds on this bet here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league/
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INFO BOX - Bookings Points
Most bookies use the following points system for Bookings Points
bets:
Yellow Card = 10 Points
Red Card = 25 Points
Two Yellows resulting in a Red = 35 Points
The most one player can get in a game is 35 Points.
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Basel v Barcelona
Wed 22nd Oct, 7.45pm
Live on Sky Sports Xtra via the interactive button
Ref: Eric Braamhaar
Form
Basel have lost both of their games so far, 2-1 at home to Shakhtar
Donetsk and 2-0 away to Sporting Lisbon. Barcelona have won both of
their games, 3-1 at home against Sporting and 2-1 away to Shakhtar.
First Goal
Basel were not involved in last season's Champions League, but
opponents Barcelona bring a strong trend from last season's
competition into tonight's match.
Barcelona played 12 CL (Champions League) games last season. In 80%
of those where a goal was scored, it came Before the 27th minute.
In their opening game this season the First Goal was once again
scored within the first 27 minutes.
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RECOMMENDED BET:
- The First Goal to be scored 'During or Before the 27th
minute' @ Evens (2.00) with Betdirect, Boylesports and Stan James
This bet wins if... The first goal is scored 'during or Before the
27th minute'.
You can find the latest odds on this bet here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league/
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Bookings
Barcelona played 6 CL away games last season, in 5 of them the
Total Cards count went Over the bookies' 3.5 Card mark. In their
opening away game this season against Shakhtar Donetsk that was
once again the case.
As we have stated, Basel didn't play in last season's competition -
but if we take a look at their domestic form these two look like a
good match up for another Over the Cards affair.
Basel have played 6 home games in the Swiss Super League with 4 of
them going Over 3.5 Cards. In their opening CL game against
Shakhtar the Total Cards once again went Over 3.5 Cards.
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INFO BOX - Total Cards
Bookies who provide 'Cards' markets use the following system:
Yellow Card = 1 Card
Red Card = 2 Cards
Two Yellows resulting in a Red = 3 Cards
The most one player can get using this scoring system is '3 Cards'.
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PSV Eindhoven v Marseille
Wed 22nd Oct, 7.45pm
Live on Sky Sports Xtra (interactive)
Ref: Damir Skomina
Form
PSV have lost both of their games, 3-0 at home to Atletico Madrid
and 3-1 away to Liverpool. Marseille have also lost both of their
games, 2-1 at home to Liverpool and 2-1 away to Atletico.
Corners
Last season, 100% of all PSV's CL games went Under 10.5 Corners.
They only averaged 3.7 Corners For per home game and they
restricted opponents to only 3.7 Corners per match. Against
Atletico in their opening group game the corner's count once again
went below 10.5 Corners. Last season, opponents Marseille managed
5.3 Corner For per away game.
Here's a summary of our recommended bets for tonight's games.
TONIGHT'S RECOMMENDED BETS
Wednesday 22nd October 2008
Chelsea v Roma:
- Roma to win the 'Bookings Points Match Bet' @ 4/6
(or Roma to be the 'Team Awarded Most Bookings Points' @ 4/9)
Basel v Barcelona:
PSV v Marseille:
- 'Under 10 Corners' @ Evens
(and a saver bet on 'Exactly 10 Corners' @ 15/2)
You can find the best odds on any bet on tonight's Champions League
games here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league/matches/
You can view the full fixture list for tonight's games at our
Champions League Profit Service website (alongside the Scoreboard
on the homepage). From 7.45pm tonight - when all the games kick off
- the Scoreboard will go LIVE with all the match stats for every
game updating minute-by-minute.
www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk
Password: ******
If you have any betting queries that the 'Help' section of our
website can't answer, you can email us at:
championsleaguebet@oxonpress.com
Good luck with your bets tonight. I'll write to you again tomorrow
morning with all of tonight's results.
Best wishes,
Matt Nesbitt
Champions League Service
www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk
Find the Best Odds...
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Compare Odds for all Sports and Betting markets at:
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