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The Champions League is back in action tonight - and I've got 3
bets for you today...
There are 8 Group games being played tonight and 8 more Wednesday.
See below for our recommend bets for today.
You can view the full fixture list for tonight's games at our
Champions League Profit Service website (alongside the Scoreboard
on the homepage). From 7.45pm tonight - when all the games kick off
- the Scoreboard will go LIVE with all the match stats for every
game updating minute-by-minute.
www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk
Password: ******
Tonight's bets
Here are your recommended bets for tonight's games. We've analysed
the statistics and form for every team and identified 3 standout
bets.
Let's start with the live ITV1 game at Liverpool...
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid
Tues 4th Nov, 7.45pm
Live on ITV1
Ref: Martin Hansson
Form
These two met in Madrid a fortnight ago - drawing 1-1. Both clubs
have 7 points and are joint-top of the Group D table.
Corners
Liverpool were a strong corner winner at home last season. In 100%
of their Champions League games at Anfield, they won the most
corners. They averaged 4 corners more than their opponents per
game, with averages of 6.8 Corners For and 2.8 Corners Against.
In their only home game so far in 2008/9, Liverpool won 3 corners
and PSV Eindhoven won 1.
Also, it's worth noting that in the Premier League last season,
Liverpool won the most corners in 89% of their home games - and
they have won the most corners in 100% of their home games so far
this season too.
Atletico Madrid weren't in the Champions League last season.
They've played away once so far this season, and didn't get the
most corners - Atletico won 4 corners and PSV won 6.
Atletico's league form (from Spain's La Liga) shows that they are
not a strong corner winner away from home at present. In 4 away
games in 2008/9, their opponent has won the most corners - by at
least 4 corners - every time.
Key stat:
Backing Liverpool with a 'minus 2' Corner Handicap in all 6 of
their home games last season would have paid out a winner 4 times.
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RECOMMENDED BET:
- Liverpool '-2.5 Asian Handicap Corners' @ 9/10 (1.90)
with Bet365 or Liverpool '-2 Corner Handicap' @ 9/10 with
Expekt.com
This bet wins if... Liverpool get 3 or more corners more than
Atletico Madrid.
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You can find the latest odds on this Liverpool bet using the links
below...
'Asian Handicap Corners':
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league
'Corner Handicap':
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league
Roma v Chelsea
Tues 4th Nov, 7.45pm
Live on ITV4
Ref: Luis Medina Cantalejo
Form
Chelsea beat Roma 1-0 at Stamford Bridge two weeks ago. With 3
games each played, Chelsea are top of Group A with 7 points and
Roma are in 3rd place with 3 points.
Corners
Roma won the most corners in 3 of their 5 home Champions League
games last season. They averaged 7.4 Corners For and 5.8 Corners
Against per game. In their only home game so far this season, Roma
won 7 corners and opponents Cluj won 4.
Chelsea won the most corners in only 1 of their 6 away games last
season. They averaged 4.2 Corners For and 5.7 Corners Against.
As well as the stats for both teams, the 'setting' for this match
points us towards a Roma corners bet. Chelsea are clear at the top
of Group A, while Roma are 3rd - level on points with bottom club
Bordeaux. Only the top 2 teams from each group make it through to
the knockout stages of the Champions League. In short, Roma need to
go for the win - to attack - more than Chelsea do. This factor
could be crucial to which team wins the most corners tonight.
Roma have superior corners stats to Chelsea - but you can back them
with a 'plus' Corner Handicap with some bookies.
Key stat:
Backing Chelsea's opponents with a '+1 Corner Handicap' would have
paid out in 83% of their away games last season.
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RECOMMENDED BET:
- Roma '+1 Corner Handicap' @ 10/11 (1.91) with Stan
James and Betdirect
This bet wins if... Roma win the same amount of corners, or more
corners, than Chelsea.
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You can find the latest odds on this Roma bet here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league/
Barcelona v Basel
Tues 4th Nov, 7.45pm
Live on Sky Sports 2
Ref: Alexandru Dan Tudor
Form
Barcelona are top of Group C with a 'played 3 won 3' record. Basel
are bottom (4th) with no points. In the previous round of games,
Barcelona won 5-0 at Basel.
Anytime Goalscorer
Barcelona thumped Basel 5-0 two weeks ago, and the bookies are
expecting the same again here. Barcelona are a just 1/9 (1.11) to
win again, 2/5 (1.40) to win by more than one goal - and 'Over 2.5
Goals' in the game is 4/11 (1.36).
However, better value can be found in the 'Anytime Goalscorer'
market.
Barcelona's Lionel Messi was joint-2nd Top Scorer in the Champions
League last season. He scored 6 goals in 9 games overall.
Messi has started this season in great form. He's got 3 goals in 3
games so far. Those 3 goals have come in his two most recent
Champions League games - including one against Basel in that 5-0
win.
In the league (Spain, La Liga), Messi has scored 6 goals in 9 games
so far in 2008/9.
Some bookies make Messi just 8/13 (1.61) to score at 'Anytime' in
tonight's game. But you can get much better odds of 6/5 (2.20) with
William Hill.
Key stat:
Backing Lionel Messi to score at 'Anytime' would have paid out a
winner in his last two Champions League games. And if you'd backed
Messi to score in Barcelona's last 10 games in all competitions at
odds of Evens or bigger, you'd be well in profit.
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RECOMMENDED BET:
- 'Anytime Scorer' - L.Messi @ 6/5 (2.20) with William Hill
This bet wins if... Lionel Messi scores at anytime in the game.
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Messi can also be backed 'To Score' at around Evens (2.00) on
Betfair. You can find the best odds on this market here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league/
Here's a summary of our recommended bets for tonight's games.
TONIGHT'S RECOMMENDED BETS
Tuesday 4th October 2008
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid:
- Liverpool '-2.5 Asian Handicap Corners' @ 9/10
or Liverpool '-2 Corner Handicap' @ 9/10
Roma v Chelsea:
- Roma '+1 Corner Handicap' @ 10/11
Barcelona v Basel:
- 'Anytime Scorer' - L.Messi @ 6/5
You can find the best odds on any bet on tonight's Champions League
games here:
http://odds.sportsbettingxtra.co.uk/football/champions-league/matches/
Find out more online...
You can also match up the stats for all 32 Champions League teams
at our members-only website. Use the stats archives, team pages and
head-to-head tool to select your own bets on any fixture.
If you're new to football betting, you can find explanations of all
the betting categories - such as Corners and Goals - in the 'Help'
section of our website. Remember you can also follow the live stats
for every game on our Live Scoreboard...
www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk
Password: ******
If you have any betting queries the website doesn't answer, you can
email us at:
championsleaguebet@oxonpress.com
Good luck with your bets tonight. I'll write to you again on
Wednesday morning with tonight's results - and our recommended bets
for tomorrow's games.
Best wishes,
Matt Nesbitt
Champions League Service
www.ChampionsLeagueBet.co.uk
Find the Best Odds...
Get the best odds on all your bets at our free Odds Comparison site.
Compare Odds for all Sports and Betting markets at:
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www.footballbettingresults.co.uk
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